Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ISTANBUL (TURKEY), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: ISTANBUL (TURKEY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nick Hardt		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.81	2.04
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.57	2.29	Watch
	1.74	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.99)	2.06 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
54.4%

Bernard Tomic
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nick Hardt's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nick Hardt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Nick Hardt - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hardt will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Tomic will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomic: 56.3% – 96.7%.

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Preview

Recent matches Hardt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tomic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tomic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Soon Woo Kwon - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	Nick Hardt - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Jules Marie - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.23	Nick Hardt - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Skander Mansouri - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
28.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Adria Soriano Barrera	Tomic B. retired ✺
11.08.23	Federico Coria - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 W?LWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Nick Hardt	✺

Nick Hardt - Bernard Tomic