Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: 1573 Arena (Melbourne)


	Nick Hardt		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	3.2	1.35
	2.95	1.37
	3.11	1.39
	3	1.36
	3.02	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
31.3%

Elias Ymer
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Nick Hardt - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Elias Ymer will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hardt is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hardt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ymer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ITF Tournaments
04.12.22	Nick Hardt - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Nick Hardt - Victor Lilov	2:0 ✺
02.12.22	Nick Hardt - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
01.12.22	Nick Hardt - Marko Stakusic	Hardt N. walkover ✺
30.11.22	Nick Hardt - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWW?W
- Elias Ymer
ATP Pune
03.01.23	Elias Ymer - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
01.01.23	Elias Ymer - Yuki Bhambri	2:0 ✺
31.12.22	Elias Ymer - Miljan Zekic	Zekic M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
30.11.22	Luca Van Assche - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Stefano Travaglia - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LW?LL

Nick Hardt - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide