Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV7


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.41
	2.94	1.43
	2.83	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.84)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
32.9%

Cameron Norrie
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Norrie will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Budkov Kjaer (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Norrie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 133. Norrie is ranked ATP: 26.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Norrie is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	James McCabe - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Emilio Nava - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cameron Norrie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide