Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.35	1.55
	2.44	1.53
	2.48	1.56
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.55	1.49
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.43	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
38.6%

Christopher OConnell
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149. OConnell is ranked ATP: 105.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

OConnell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.39%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jesper De Jong - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW
- Christopher OConnell
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Joao Fonseca - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. Walkover ✺
16.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. Retired ✺
14.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WL??W

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide