Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Hungary	Arena 4


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.29	3.94
	1.29	3.45	Watch
	1.3	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	3.82 ↑ (3.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
75%

Valentin Vacherot
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Vacherot will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rune (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Vacherot (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Vacherot (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rune (votes: 6 - 60%). Vacherot (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 11. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 204.

Rune is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vacherot is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Rune is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 73.01%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Laslo Djere - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Valentin Vacherot - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 W?WWW

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