Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Dewilde G. (Fra)


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.49	Watch
	2.44	1.58
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.47	1.51	Watch
	2.33	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.01)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
38.4%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez Varona: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillen Meza in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Guillen Meza to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
27.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Edas Butvilas	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
03.06.24	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Hazem Naw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LW?LL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
29.06.24	Facundo Mena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Valerio Aboian - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Noah Schachter - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
25.06.24	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide