Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Marburg, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marburg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Florian Broska

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Nicolas Alvarez Varona
66.2%

Florian Broska
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Florian Broska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florian Broska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florian Broska than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 307. Broska is ranked ATP: 533.

In recent matches, Alvarez Varona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Broska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Broska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alvarez Varona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Florian Broska
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Florian Broska - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Petr Brunclik - Florian Broska	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Florian Broska - Peter Fajta	Fajta P. retired ✺
20.06.25	Florian Broska - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Florian Broska - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WW?LW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Florian Broska