Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
			Watch
	2.27	1.65
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
44.1%

Jurij Rodionov
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 305. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 206.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Facundo Juarez	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Jurij Rodionov - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Jurij Rodionov - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Jurij Rodionov - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide