The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nicolas Alvarez Varona 47.1%
Nick Hardt 52.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.
Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nick Hardt's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nick Hardt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
0%
15%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nick Hardt Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hardt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.