Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Pedro Boscardin Dias

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	3.1	1.3	Watch
	3.84	1.29
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (1.45)	1.75 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
39.9%

Pedro Boscardin Dias
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Boscardin Dias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Boscardin Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Boscardin Dias Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 309. Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 420.

Alvarez Varona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boscardin Dias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boscardin Dias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alvarez Varona will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Boscardin Dias - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Igor Gimenez - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Boscardin Dias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide