Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.53	2.41	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	2.3 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
59.7%

Denis Yevseyev
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 304. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 258.

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yevseyev is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yevseyev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Blanchet U. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWL?
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
21.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Denis Yevseyev	Jacquet K. retired ✺
19.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.21	Denis Yevseyev - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Denis Yevseyev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide