Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Ryan Nijboer		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
35.4%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nijboer will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 394. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 312.

Nijboer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nijboer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alvarez Varona is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nijboer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Daniel Cukierman - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Sandro Kopp - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Ryan Nijboer - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer	2:1
17.08.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ryan Nijboer	2:1

Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide