Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Emilien Demanet		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.64	1.3
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.92)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilien Demanet
28.4%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilien Demanet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilien Demanet than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Emilien Demanet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Demanet will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demanet is ranked ATP: 580. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 300.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Demanet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alvarez Varona is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Demanet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilien Demanet
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Emilien Demanet - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Emilien Demanet - Daniel Uta	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Emilien Demanet - Justin Schlageter	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Emilien Demanet - Christian Djonov	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Matisse Bobichon - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Matias Soto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.01.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Emilien Demanet	2:0

Emilien Demanet - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide