Match Info

Date: 17 December 2021, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Roy Smith

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.15
	1.33	3.4
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	3.31 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
71.7%

Roy Smith
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Roy Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roy Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roy Smith than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roy Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Roy Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Smith will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez Varona: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
15.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
13.12.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
06.12.21	Pablo Cuevas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
02.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
29.11.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW
- Roy Smith
ATP Challenger
15.12.21	Pedro Sakamoto - Roy Smith	1:2 ✺
14.12.21	Roy Smith - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
13.12.21	Roy Smith - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
12.12.21	Roy Smith - Victor Fernandes	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.12.21	Roy Smith - Osgar OHoisin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?LWL

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Roy Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide