Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: GENEVA (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nicolas Jarry		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.45
	2.6	1.48
	2.66	1.54
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.62)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
35.6%

Alexander Zverev
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	0%	31.8%

Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). Zverev will win (votes: 14 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 54.4% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zverev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Geneva
25.05.23	Casper Ruud - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Tallon Griekspoor	Jarry N. walkover ✺
22.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?WLL
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Geneva
25.05.23	Alexander Zverev - Yibing Wu	Wu Y. retired ✺
23.05.23	Alexander Zverev - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	David Goffin - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
23.07.19	Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Geneva
25.05.19	Alexander Zverev - Nicolas Jarry	2:1
ATP Barcelona
23.04.19	Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Zverev	2:1

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