Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV, Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Alexander Zverev		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.75	1.44
	2.6	1.48
	2.8	1.45
	2.77	1.45
	2.89	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.96	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.72)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
34.1%

Daniil Medvedev
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Medvedev will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zverev won 1.

Zverev in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Medvedev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zverev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Medvedev will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Medvedev to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Zverev won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Alexander Zverev - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
10.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
08.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1
Exhibition Diriyah Men
08.12.22	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
21.11.21	Alexander Zverev - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
16.11.21	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1

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