Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Nicolas Jarry		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.61	2.45	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.48)	2.36 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
59.5%

Alibek Kachmazov
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Jarry - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 28. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 252.

Jarry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kachmazov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarry will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kachmazov to win the game is with odds 2.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Nicolas Jarry - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Christopher OConnell - Nicolas Jarry	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Kris van Wyk - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL

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