Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Alexei Popyrin		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.85	2.02
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
52.7%

Nicolas Jarry
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Jarry is ranked ATP: 53.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Hugo Gaston - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:0
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	Popyrin A. walkover
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:1

Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide