Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MIAMI (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:45	ESPN 2
Finland	00:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	23:45	Eurosport 1
Germany	23:45	Sky Sport Top event
Poland	23:45	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	22:45	Sport TV3
Ukraine	00:45	Setanta Sports


	Nicolas Jarry		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.89	2.02
	1.89	2.02
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.86	Watch
	1.91	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.73)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
50.8%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.1%	0%	89.9%

Nicolas Jarry - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (98 of 109 users predict this - 89.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.26% – 95.56%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Jarry is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seyboth Wild is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.11.17	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolas Jarry	2:0

Nicolas Jarry - Thiago Seyboth Wild