The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nicolas Jarry 30.6%
Jack Draper 69.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.
Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.8%
0%
87.2%
Nicolas Jarry - Jack Draper Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jack Draper will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Jarry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Draper is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Draper is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.33.