Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Nicolas Kicker		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.08
	1.71	2.22
	1.60	2.19	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)	2.13 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Kicker
56.1%

Gonzalo Bueno
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Kicker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Kicker's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Bueno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Kicker than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Kicker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Bueno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Nicolas Kicker - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kicker will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bueno will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bueno: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kicker (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bueno (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kicker is ranked ATP: 299. Bueno is ranked ATP: 257.

Kicker has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bueno is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kicker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kicker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Kicker
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Christian Garin - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWL?W

Nicolas Kicker - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide