Match Info

Date: 8 March 2021, Monday


	Nicolas Kicker		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.91	1.75
	2.13	1.73
	2.09	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Kicker
46.1%

Sebastian Baez
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Kicker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Kicker than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	0%	21.6%

Nicolas Kicker - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Kicker will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kicker is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Kicker
ATP Santiago
07.03.21	Nicolas Kicker - Thomaz Bellucci	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Joao Domingues - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
01.03.21	Sumit Nagal - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Nicolas Kicker - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
27.02.21	Nicolas Kicker - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
07.03.21	Sebastian Baez - Joao Menezes	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Sebastian Baez - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
28.02.21	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
27.02.21	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WW?WW

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