Match Info

Date: 17 July 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francisco Cerundolo		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.95	1.4
	2.8	1.4
	3.14	1.42
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.02	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.51)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
33.1%

Sebastian Baez
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 20 - 36.4%). Baez will win (votes: 35 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.9% – 76.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Bastad
16.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
13.07.22	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bastad
16.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:1 ✺
14.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.11.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2
21.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2

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