Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Andres Andrade

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.27
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2)	2.12 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
55.9%

Andres Andrade
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Andres Andrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andres Andrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andres Andrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Mejia will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Mejia will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 243. Andrade is ranked ATP: 262.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Andrade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mejia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Rodrigues	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL
- Andres Andrade
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Andres Andrade - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Justin Boulais - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Nicolas Ian Kotzen - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Zachary Fuchs - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Andres Andrade - Nicolas Mejia	1:2
09.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade	2:0

Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide