Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Calgary (Canada), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Nicolas Mejia		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.95
	1.86	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.84	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
51%

Aziz Dougaz
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Mejia - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dougaz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 227. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 201.

Recent matches Mejia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dougaz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mejia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Dougaz to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mejia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
16.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
16.10.24	Aidan Mayo - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Max Wiskandt - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Taha Baadi	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Holden Koons	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Andre Szilvassy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.04.23	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Mejia	2:1

Nicolas Mejia - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide