Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Nicolas Mejia		Chris Rodesch

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.47
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.97)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
35%

Chris Rodesch
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chris Rodesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chris Rodesch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nicolas Mejia - Chris Rodesch Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rodesch will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 185. Rodesch is ranked ATP: 142.

Recent performances by Mejia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodesch is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rodesch could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rodesch will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mejia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Martin Damm - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLLWW
- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Oliver Crawford - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Adam Walton - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Sean Cuenin	Cuenin S. walkover ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Vladyslav Orlov	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL??W

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Chris Rodesch	0:2

Nicolas Mejia - Chris Rodesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide