Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Nicolas Mejia		Emilio Nava

	1	2
			Watch
	3.6	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.87	1.27
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.76	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.09)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
25.8%

Emilio Nava
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nicolas Mejia - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Emilio Nava will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Preview

Mejia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nava is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ITF Tournaments
10.02.24	Alex Rybakov - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Igor Gimenez	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
03.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Marcos Giron - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.24	Emilio Nava - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
05.02.24	Emilio Nava - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Emilio Nava - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.24	Emilio Nava - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL

Nicolas Mejia - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide