Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bengaluru (India), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Nicolas Mejia		James McCabe

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.27	1.61
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
41.8%

James McCabe
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James McCabe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James McCabe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nicolas Mejia - James McCabe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). McCabe will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mejia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 209. McCabe is ranked ATP: 208.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mejia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Nicolas Mejia - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Nicolas Mejia - Darian King	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL
- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Rio Noguchi - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	James McCabe - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	James McCabe - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	James McCabe - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

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