Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune (India), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	James McCabe		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.94	1.88
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.44)	1.86 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
49.6%

Ilia Simakin
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James McCabe's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James McCabe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

James McCabe - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Simakin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 209. Simakin is ranked ATP: 308.

Recent matches McCabe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simakin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McCabe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	James McCabe - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	James McCabe - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	James McCabe - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
17.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Jiri Vesely	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?WWL

James McCabe - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide