Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Savannah, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Maxime Janvier

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.46	2.64
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.51	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
61.8%

Maxime Janvier
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Mejia's performance.

Maxime Janvier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxime Janvier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxime Janvier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Mejia - Maxime Janvier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 301. Janvier is ranked ATP: 370.

Recent matches Mejia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Janvier is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Janvier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mejia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mejia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Janvier - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Nicolas Mejia - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Nicolas Mejia - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Mark Lajal - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Dino Prizmic - Maxime Janvier	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Maxime Janvier - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Maxime Janvier - Nicolas Mejia	1:2
25.08.22	Nicolas Mejia - Maxime Janvier	2:0

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