Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Nicolas Mejia		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.23	1.36
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2)	1.35 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
30.5%

Murphy Cassone
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nicolas Mejia - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cassone will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 208. Cassone is ranked ATP: 245.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cassone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mejia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Matias Soto - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Alejandro Moreno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Gage Brymer	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
13.07.25	Murphy Cassone - Nicolas Mejia	0:2

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