Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Aristotelis Thanos

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.50	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	2.46 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
62.1%

Aristotelis Thanos
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Aristotelis Thanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aristotelis Thanos than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aristotelis Thanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nicolas Mejia - Aristotelis Thanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mejia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Thanos will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Mejia (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Thanos (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mejia (votes: 3 - 75%). Thanos (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 205. Thanos is ranked ATP: 435.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Thanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mejia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL
- Aristotelis Thanos
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Sebastian Gima - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Nicolas Hurtado Novoa - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Nicolas Mejia - Aristotelis Thanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide