Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEDELLIN (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Pedro Boscardin Dias

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.92	1.85
	1.95	1.88
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.1)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
48.2%

Pedro Boscardin Dias
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Pedro Boscardin Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Mejia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Boscardin Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Boscardin Dias Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Mejia will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boscardin Dias is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boscardin Dias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mejia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Nicolas Mejia - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Nicolas Mejia - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Daniel Cox - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Luke Saville - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Federico Delbonis - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Guido Andreozzi - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Statham J. R. retired ✺
19.06.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Victor Lilov	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Philip Florig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.01.23	Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2

Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Boscardin Dias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide