Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rio de Janeiro 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nicolas Villalon		Wilson Leite

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Nicolas Villalon
37.3%

Wilson Leite
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Villalon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Wilson Leite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Villalon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Villalon is ranked ATP: 943. Leite is ranked ATP: 879.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Villalon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leite will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villalon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Villalon
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Maximus Jones - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Nicolas Villalon - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Nicolas Villalon	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Mateo Carballo - Nicolas Villalon	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Facundo Bagnis - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL
- Wilson Leite
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Wilson Leite - Taha Baadi	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Igor Gimenez - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Rafael De Alba - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Wilson Leite - Igor Marcondes	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

ITF Tournaments
14.01.25	Nicolas Villalon - Wilson Leite	2:0

Nicolas Villalon - Wilson Leite