Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Troisdorf, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Troisdorf 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Niels McDonald		Marcel Zielinski

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Niels McDonald
69.7%

Marcel Zielinski
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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McDonald is ranked ATP: 1014. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 636.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zielinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McDonald could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
26.05.26	Niels McDonald - Aaron James Williams	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Niels McDonald - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Niels McDonald - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
26.05.26	Marcel Zielinski - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Marcel Zielinski - Daniel Siniakov	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Marcel Zielinski - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Niels McDonald - Marcel Zielinski