Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 16 April 2026, Thursday
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Lorenzo Carboni |
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Niels McDonald |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Carboni 57.9% | Niels McDonald 42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Carboni is ranked ATP: 470. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1017.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Carboni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;