Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mataro 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

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Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
57%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Sanchez Izquierdo is ranked ATP: 334. Bailly is ranked ATP: 487.

Recent performances by Sanchez Izquierdo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bailly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sanchez Izquierdo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sanchez Izquierdo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Sanchez Izquierdo N. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Lautaro Midon - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LLWW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
13.05.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Abel Forger - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Stijn Pel - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly