Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.76	2.11
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
56.7%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lautaro Midon - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sanchez Izquierdo: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 323. Sanchez Izquierdo is ranked ATP: 330.

Midon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sanchez Izquierdo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Midon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Midon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

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