Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.34	1.37
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.25	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.01)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
28.8%

Henrique Rocha
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sanchez Izquierdo is ranked ATP: 271. Rocha is ranked ATP: 169.

Sanchez Izquierdo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sanchez Izquierdo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rocha is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sanchez Izquierdo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Facundo Mena - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Henrique Rocha	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
10.03.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.21	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henrique Rocha	2:0

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