Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.92
	1.41	2.82	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.81 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
66.5%

Henrique Rocha
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henrique Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 96. Rocha is ranked ATP: 118.

Vallejo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vallejo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	0:2
ATP Santiago
22.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:0
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	0:2

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