Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Athens 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nikolay Vylegzhanin		Lorenzo Angelini

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Nikolay Vylegzhanin
69.5%

Lorenzo Angelini
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lorenzo Angelini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 503. Angelini is ranked ATP: 982.

In recent matches, Vylegzhanin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Angelini is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vylegzhanin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vylegzhanin is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Niels Visker - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Omar Knani - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Lorenzo Angelini
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Millen Hurrion - Lorenzo Angelini	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Filippos Astreinidis - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Lorenzo Angelini - Menelaos Efstathiou	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lorenzo Angelini