Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Nikolay Vylegzhanin		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.64	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.64)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
38.8%

Lucas Poullain
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikolay Vylegzhanin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vylegzhanin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Poullain will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 459. Poullain is ranked ATP: 357.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poullain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vylegzhanin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.45%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Kenny De Schepper - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Kenny De Schepper - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Lucas Poullain - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Lucas Poullain - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lucas Poullain	0:2
ITF Tournaments
03.11.23	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lucas Poullain	0:2

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide