Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Nikolay Vylegzhanin		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
	2.9	1.45
	2.76	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.04)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
32.8%

Michael Geerts
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vylegzhanin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Geerts will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 494. Geerts is ranked ATP: 372.

Recent performances by Vylegzhanin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Geerts is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vylegzhanin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Geerts is the team to beat.

We predict that Geerts will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Niels Visker - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Michael Geerts - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Michael Geerts - Max Schoenhaus	Schoenhaus M. walkover ✺
12.11.25	Michael Geerts - Jorge Plans	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WW?WL

Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide