Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Jenson Brooksby		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.79	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)	2.1 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
54.7%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenson Brooksby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brooksby (votes: 1 - 50%). Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 77., and Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 145..

Brooksby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Basilashvili is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Basilashvili may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Brooksby has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Chengdu
25.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Chengdu
25.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hanlei Lu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Naoya Honda - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
26.03.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jenson Brooksby	0:2
ATP Toronto
10.08.21	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2
ATP US Open
29.08.19	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:3

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