Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.83
	1.47	2.86
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)	2.73 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
65.5%

Aziz Dougaz
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	0%	10.3%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dougaz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dougaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basilashvili will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Alafia Ayeni - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.24	Luca Van Assche - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.24	Marco Trungelliti - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Aziz Dougaz - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Aziz Dougaz - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LLWL

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide