Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.81	2.03
	1.67	2.14	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.2)	2.02 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
53.6%

Ugo Blanchet
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Blanchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Blanchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Blanchet will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Blanchet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Denis Yevseyev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WW?LW
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Ugo Blanchet - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Gijs Brouwer - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
08.02.24	Ugo Blanchet - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Ugo Blanchet - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WL?LW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ugo Blanchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide