Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.36	3
	1.49	2.55
	1.54	2.52
	1.48	2.59	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.34)	2.66 ↓ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
64.5%

Gauthier Onclin
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nikoloz Basilashvili's form might have worsened.

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gauthier Onclin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gauthier Onclin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Onclin will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Onclin: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Basilashvili (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gauthier Onclin will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Onclin (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 112. Onclin is ranked ATP: 215.

Basilashvili is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Onclin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Onclin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Basilashvili is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Christopher Eubanks - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WWLW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Gauthier Onclin - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Gauthier Onclin - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Gauthier Onclin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide