Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Colton Smith		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.68	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	2.09 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colton Smith
55.3%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 136. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 112.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colton Smith
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Colton Smith - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Colton Smith - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Christopher Eubanks - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide