Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.58	1.48	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.78)	1.52 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
38.5%

Alexander Shevchenko
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Shevchenko will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Shevchenko will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 136. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 79.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shevchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shevchenko might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basilashvili won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Doha
14.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?LLLW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Henri Squire - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Daniil Glinka - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Clement Chidekh - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hugo Nys	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired

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