Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Hamish Stewart

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.57	2.31
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)	2.13 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
56.3%

Hamish Stewart
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Hamish Stewart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamish Stewart than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamish Stewart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hamish Stewart Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 328. Stewart is ranked ATP: 490.

Basilashvili is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stewart is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stewart could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Basilashvili will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Steven Diez	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
11.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Max Wiskandt - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexandre Reco	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LWWW
- Hamish Stewart
ATP Challenger
22.09.24	Maxime Janvier - Hamish Stewart	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Hamish Stewart - Phillip Jordan	1:2 ✺
05.09.24	Hamish Stewart - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Hamish Stewart - Joe Leather	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Hamish Stewart - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hamish Stewart: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide